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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">aari</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Проблемы Арктики и Антарктики</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Arctic and Antarctic Research</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">0555-2648</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2618-6713</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Государственный научный центр Российской Федерации Арктический и антарктический научно-исследовательский институт</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.30758/0555-2648-2018-64-1-101-118</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">aari-24</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ГИДРОЛОГИЯ СУШИ И ГИДРОХИМИЯ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>HYDROLOGY OF LAND AND HYDROCHEMISTRY</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Актуальные проблемы гидрологических расчетов в арктической зоне Российской Федерации и сопредельных территориях распространения многолетней мерзлоты</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Actual Problems of Hydrological Assessments in the Arctic Zone of Russian Federation and Adjacent Permafrost Territories</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Макарьева</surname><given-names>О. М.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Makarieva</surname><given-names>O. M.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"/><bio xml:lang="en"/><email xlink:type="simple">omakarieva@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Нестерова</surname><given-names>Н. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Nesterova</surname><given-names>N. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"/><bio xml:lang="en"/><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Бельдиман</surname><given-names>И. Н.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Beldiman</surname><given-names>I. N.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"/><bio xml:lang="en"/><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-3"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Лебедева</surname><given-names>Л. С.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Lebedeva</surname><given-names>L. S.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"/><bio xml:lang="en"/><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-4"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>ООО НПО «Гидротехпроект»; &#13;
Институт мерзлотоведения им. М.П. Мельникова СО РАН; &#13;
Санкт-Петербургский государственный университет; &#13;
ФБГУ «Государственный гидрологический институт»</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Ltd «Gidrotehproekt»; &#13;
Melnikov Permafrost Institute SB RAS;&#13;
St. Petersburg State University;&#13;
State Hydrological Institute</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Санкт-Петербургский государственный университет; &#13;
ФБГУ «Государственный гидрологический институт»</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>St. Petersburg State University;&#13;
State Hydrological Institute</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-3"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>ООО НПО «Гидротехпроект»</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Ltd «Gidrotehproekt»</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-4"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Институт мерзлотоведения им. М.П. Мельникова СО РАН</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Melnikov Permafrost Institute SB RAS</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2018</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>30</day><month>03</month><year>2018</year></pub-date><volume>64</volume><issue>1</issue><fpage>101</fpage><lpage>118</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Макарьева О.М., Нестерова Н.В., Бельдиман И.Н., Лебедева Л.С., 2018</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2018</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Макарьева О.М., Нестерова Н.В., Бельдиман И.Н., Лебедева Л.С.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Makarieva O.M., Nesterova N.V., Beldiman I.N., Lebedeva L.S.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.aaresearch.science/jour/article/view/24">https://www.aaresearch.science/jour/article/view/24</self-uri><abstract><p>В статье раскрыты основные проблемы, стоящие перед гидрологами при инженерном проектировании в Арктической зоне России и прилегающих территориях распространения многолетней мерзлоты. Основной из них является практическая невозможность использования стандартных методов расчета (СП 33-101-2003) для оценки характеристик стока в регионах с крайне ограниченными данными наблюдений гидрометрической сети в современных условиях изменений климата. Констатируется срочная необходимость создания государственной программы, направленной на восстановление ранее действовавших в криолитозоне и организацию новых научно-исследовательских гидрологических стационаров, совершенствование стандартной гидрологической сети, а также развитие комплексных моделирующих систем и методов их параметризации.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The article reveals the main problems facing hydrologists in engineering design in the Arctic zone of Russia and adjacent territories of permafrost. Climate warming and degradation of permafrost cause a significant transformation of the hydrological cycle. The retrospective observations of runoff cannot be considered therefore in modern conditions. The density of the hydrological network in the permafrost zone of Russia has decreased by more than 1.5 times, and on small rivers – more than three times in recent decades. Thus, the use of standard calculation methods (SP 33-101-2003) to assess the runoff characteristics in the Arctic regions is practically impossible. It is shown that in the developed Arctic countries where the size of the territories and their inaccessibility could be compared with withRussia, the low density of the standard observation network is compensated by the organization of small scientific research stations for studying hydrological processes in various physical and geographical conditions and the development of mathematical modeling methods. It is shown that historicallyRussiawas the leader of hydrological research in cold regions. It is stated that there is an urgent need to create a state program aimed at restoring the previously operating in the cryolithоzone and organizing new research hydrological watersheds, improving the standard hydrological network, and developing complex modeling systems and methods for their parameterization.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>Арктическая зона</kwd><kwd>гидрологическая безопасность</kwd><kwd>инженерное проектирование</kwd><kwd>математическое моделирование</kwd><kwd>мерзлота</kwd><kwd>паводки</kwd><kwd>СП-33-101-2003</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>Arctic zone</kwd><kwd>floods</kwd><kwd>hydrological engineering</kwd><kwd>hydrological safety</kwd><kwd>mathematical modeling</kwd><kwd>permafrost</kwd><kwd>SP-33-101-2003</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Государственная программа Российской Федерации «Социально-экономическое развитие Арктической зоны Российской Федерации», утверждена постановлением Правительства Российской Федерации от 21 апреля 2014 г. № 366 (в редакции постановления Правительства Российской Федерации от 31 августа 2017 г. № 1064). 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